Cyprus Tourism Faces Pressure Amid Escalating Middle East Tensions

Unintended Involvement In A Conflict

Cyprus is beginning to feel the effects of escalating tensions in the Middle East, as disruptions in regional air travel affect tourism flows to the island. Recent developments linked to military activity near the British bases, including the launch of a drone over Akrotiri, have coincided with flight cancellations and booking changes across the tourism sector. Tourism authorities say the situation remains fluid. Officials expect a clearer picture of the potential impact on bookings and travel demand to emerge over the coming week.

Broader Implications For Tourism

Israel remains one of the key source markets for Cyprus tourism, making the sector particularly sensitive to developments in the region. The current situation has already triggered cancellations from destinations across the Middle East, including Dubai, Abu Dhabi, Haifa and Tel Aviv.

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Travel disruptions are also affecting European routes. Airlines have cancelled or adjusted flights to several European destinations, including the United Kingdom and Malta, as carriers reassess schedules and demand levels. Reduced passenger flows on some routes have also forced airlines to reconsider operating flights that could return with low occupancy.

Airlines Adjust Schedules To Cope With Uncertainty

Data sourced from the Hermes Airports website reveals extensive disruptions across various carriers. For example:

Aegean Airlines: Flights to and from Tel Aviv, Beirut, Erbil, and Baghdad have been suspended until early arrivals on March 10. Additionally, routes to/from Dubai and Abu Dhabi are halted until the evening of March 6, with Riyadh and Jeddah services resuming with early arrivals on March 7.
Air France: Flights operating to and from Tel Aviv, Beirut, Dubai, and Riyadh are cancelled until March 5.
KLM: Service to and from Dubai, Riyadh, and Dammam has been paused until March 9, while Tel Aviv routes remain suspended for the rest of the winter season.
El Al: All flights to and from Israel are cancelled until 02:00 on March 5.
Emirates: A limited resumption of flights is expected on the evening of March 2, with remaining flights on hold.
Etihad Airways: All flights to and from Abu Dhabi are suspended until 10:00 GMT on March 4.
British Airways: Services to Amman, Abu Dhabi, Bahrain, Dubai, Doha, and Tel Aviv will remain cancelled until March 5.
Lufthansa: Routes to and from Tel Aviv, Beirut, Amman, Dammam, Erbil, and Tehran are suspended until March 8, and flights to/from Dubai are cancelled until March 4.
Qatar Airways: Flights to and from Doha are suspended due to airspace closures.
TUS Airways: All flights to and from Israel have been cancelled until March 8, while Wizz Air has suspended services to and from Israel, Dubai, Abu Dhabi, Amman, and Saudi Arabia until March 7.

Global Aviation In Turmoil

The disruptions extend beyond Cyprus. According to Reuters, global air traffic has been affected following the conflict in Iran and the closure of several major aviation hubs in the Middle East, including Dubai, Doha and Abu Dhabi. Thousands of passengers remain stranded as airlines worldwide reassess routes and suspend services in response to the evolving security situation.

Potential Long-Term Impact On The Sector

Uncertainty over the duration of the conflict continues to weigh on travel forecasts. Former U.S. President Donald Trump recently suggested that military operations involving Iran could last up to five weeks. Tourism Economics estimates that the confrontation between the United States, Israel and Iran could reduce international arrivals to the Middle East by between 11% and 27% by 2026, according to Reuters. The revised forecast contrasts with projections issued in December that expected a 13% annual increase in tourism to the region. The updated outlook suggests that the Middle East could lose between 23 million and 38 million international visitors. Tourism spending in the region may decline by $34 billion to $56 billion if the downturn materialises.

Conclusion

The situation illustrates how geopolitical tensions can quickly affect aviation and tourism markets. For Cyprus, the immediate challenge will be managing short-term disruptions while monitoring how developments in the Middle East influence travel demand during the coming months.

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Bank of Cyprus Upgrade Signals Fresh Optimism For Greek And Cypriot Banks

by THEFUTURE.TEAM

June 26, 2026

Regional Banks Enter A More Favorable Cycle

Bank of Cyprus and Eurobank are well positioned to benefit from a renewed re-rating of Greek and Cypriot bank stocks, according to Cyprus-based investment firm Roemer Capital, which upgraded Bank of Cyprus to a buy rating and reaffirmed its positive view on Eurobank.

The firm cited easing geopolitical tensions, resilient economic growth in Greece and Cyprus, lower funding costs and Greece’s expected transition to developed-market status as the main factors supporting the sector.

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Roemer Capital also lowered its cost of equity assumptions, updated its forecasts following first-quarter 2026 results and extended its valuation horizon to the end of 2027, raising target prices across its banking coverage.

Bank Of Cyprus Gets The Largest Upgrade

Bank of Cyprus received the biggest revision, with Roemer Capital upgrading the stock from hold to buy and setting a target price of €11.10, implying potential total upside of 27%.

The firm highlighted the bank’s strong capital generation, profitability and projected 100% dividend payout, describing it as the strongest capital-return story among the banks under coverage. Roemer Capital maintained its buy rating on Eurobank, assigning a target price of €4.90 and forecasting potential upside of 28%. The report said the bank is well placed to benefit from loan growth, improving operating performance and merger-and-acquisition synergies.

National Bank of Greece and Piraeus Bank also retained buy ratings, with expected returns ranging from 25% to 36%. Optima Bank was upgraded to buy, while Alpha Bank remained at hold on valuation grounds.

Why Growth Still Sets The Region Apart

According to Roemer Capital, Greek and Cypriot banks continue to benefit from stronger economic fundamentals than many western European peers. The report pointed to faster economic growth, healthier balance sheets, low levels of non-performing exposures, capital ratios approaching 20% and strong customer deposit bases.

Analysts expect performing loans across the sector to grow at a compound annual rate of 6% to 8% through 2028, supported by private investment, digitalisation, green manufacturing, supply-chain expansion and a gradual recovery in household lending.

The report also said the conclusion of lending under the EU Recovery and Resilience Facility is unlikely to materially affect credit growth, as banks have already shifted back towards traditional commercial lending. Roemer Capital expects Euribor to remain between 2.2% and 2.5%, a level it believes should support both lending activity and net interest margins.

Geopolitics, Valuation And Market Structure Support The Case

The report said improving geopolitical conditions have strengthened the investment outlook, noting that Brent crude prices have largely returned to pre-war levels while Greek government bond yields have stabilised at around 3.5%. Although geopolitical risks remain, Roemer Capital believes the likelihood of a major inflationary shock or significant pressure on bank profitability has eased.

Another important catalyst identified by the firm is Greece’s expected promotion to developed-market status by FTSE Russell, STOXX and MSCI over the coming months.

According to the report, the reclassification should improve liquidity and attract a broader base of international investors. Roemer Capital also said Euronext’s acquisition of the Athens Exchange is expected to strengthen market infrastructure and increase international visibility, particularly for Bank of Cyprus and Optima Bank.

The firm noted that Bank of Cyprus has already benefited from its Athens listing, with average daily trading value increasing from less than €400,000 before its September 2024 move to nearly €6 million afterwards.

Economic Momentum Remains A Core Tailwind

Roemer Capital said both Greece and Cyprus have moved beyond post-crisis recovery and are now supported by private-sector-led growth. For Cyprus, the report highlighted recent tax reform and efforts to simplify the legal and regulatory framework, while also noting that limited foreign banking competition continues to support domestic lenders.

Overall, Roemer Capital expects Greek and Cypriot banks to remain well-positioned for profitable loan growth over the coming years.

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