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Cyprus Agriculture 2024: A Strategic Engine In The European Food Chain

Overview Of Cyprus Agricultural Output

Cyprus’ agricultural sector generated €426.04 million in gross value added in 2024, according to Eurostat. Although agriculture represents a relatively small share of the national economy, the sector continues to play a stable role in supporting rural activity and local production.

Insights From Eurostat’s Report

The figures appear in Eurostat’s December 2025 publication Key Figures on the European Food Chain, which tracks the agricultural value chain from production to consumption. The report evaluates value creation across farming, processing, distribution, trade, and environmental impact.

Comparative Analysis Across The EU

Across the European Union, agriculture accounted for 1.2% of GDP in 2024, slightly up from 1.1% in 2009. Countries with higher agricultural weight in their economies included Greece (3.2%), Romania (2.5%), and Spain (2.3%), reflecting stronger reliance on primary production.

Shifting Dynamics Within Member States

Eurostat data show that 15 EU member states recorded increases in the agriculture-to-GDP ratio. Greece registered the largest rise, followed by Latvia and Spain. Declines were observed in Romania, Bulgaria, Malta, and Croatia. In Cyprus, agriculture remains a smaller share of GDP but continues to generate measurable economic value for rural regions.

Broader Context And Economic Impact

At the EU level, the gross value added at basic prices for agriculture was recorded at €222.82 billion in 2024, compared to €246.95 billion in 2025. These figures, presented in millions of euros, capture the scale of agricultural output across the bloc. They also serve as a reminder that even in countries where agriculture represents a minor fraction of GDP, such as Cyprus, the sector plays a crucial role in sustaining economic and rural prosperity.

Conclusion

In summary, the 2024 data reflects not only the dynamic nature of the EU agricultural sector but also the ongoing importance of farming as a structural pillar within various national economies. Cyprus, despite its lower relative share, continues to harness significant economic benefits from its agricultural landscape, ensuring that its rural communities remain economically vibrant.

Bank of Cyprus Upgrade Signals Fresh Optimism For Greek And Cypriot Banks

Regional Banks Enter A More Favorable Cycle

Bank of Cyprus and Eurobank are well positioned to benefit from a renewed re-rating of Greek and Cypriot bank stocks, according to Cyprus-based investment firm Roemer Capital, which upgraded Bank of Cyprus to a buy rating and reaffirmed its positive view on Eurobank.

The firm cited easing geopolitical tensions, resilient economic growth in Greece and Cyprus, lower funding costs and Greece’s expected transition to developed-market status as the main factors supporting the sector.

Roemer Capital also lowered its cost of equity assumptions, updated its forecasts following first-quarter 2026 results and extended its valuation horizon to the end of 2027, raising target prices across its banking coverage.

Bank Of Cyprus Gets The Largest Upgrade

Bank of Cyprus received the biggest revision, with Roemer Capital upgrading the stock from hold to buy and setting a target price of €11.10, implying potential total upside of 27%.

The firm highlighted the bank’s strong capital generation, profitability and projected 100% dividend payout, describing it as the strongest capital-return story among the banks under coverage. Roemer Capital maintained its buy rating on Eurobank, assigning a target price of €4.90 and forecasting potential upside of 28%. The report said the bank is well placed to benefit from loan growth, improving operating performance and merger-and-acquisition synergies.

National Bank of Greece and Piraeus Bank also retained buy ratings, with expected returns ranging from 25% to 36%. Optima Bank was upgraded to buy, while Alpha Bank remained at hold on valuation grounds.

Why Growth Still Sets The Region Apart

According to Roemer Capital, Greek and Cypriot banks continue to benefit from stronger economic fundamentals than many western European peers. The report pointed to faster economic growth, healthier balance sheets, low levels of non-performing exposures, capital ratios approaching 20% and strong customer deposit bases.

Analysts expect performing loans across the sector to grow at a compound annual rate of 6% to 8% through 2028, supported by private investment, digitalisation, green manufacturing, supply-chain expansion and a gradual recovery in household lending.

The report also said the conclusion of lending under the EU Recovery and Resilience Facility is unlikely to materially affect credit growth, as banks have already shifted back towards traditional commercial lending. Roemer Capital expects Euribor to remain between 2.2% and 2.5%, a level it believes should support both lending activity and net interest margins.

Geopolitics, Valuation And Market Structure Support The Case

The report said improving geopolitical conditions have strengthened the investment outlook, noting that Brent crude prices have largely returned to pre-war levels while Greek government bond yields have stabilised at around 3.5%. Although geopolitical risks remain, Roemer Capital believes the likelihood of a major inflationary shock or significant pressure on bank profitability has eased.

Another important catalyst identified by the firm is Greece’s expected promotion to developed-market status by FTSE Russell, STOXX and MSCI over the coming months.

According to the report, the reclassification should improve liquidity and attract a broader base of international investors. Roemer Capital also said Euronext’s acquisition of the Athens Exchange is expected to strengthen market infrastructure and increase international visibility, particularly for Bank of Cyprus and Optima Bank.

The firm noted that Bank of Cyprus has already benefited from its Athens listing, with average daily trading value increasing from less than €400,000 before its September 2024 move to nearly €6 million afterwards.

Economic Momentum Remains A Core Tailwind

Roemer Capital said both Greece and Cyprus have moved beyond post-crisis recovery and are now supported by private-sector-led growth. For Cyprus, the report highlighted recent tax reform and efforts to simplify the legal and regulatory framework, while also noting that limited foreign banking competition continues to support domestic lenders.

Overall, Roemer Capital expects Greek and Cypriot banks to remain well-positioned for profitable loan growth over the coming years.

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