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Extended Drought And Water Scarcity Top Risks For Cyprus’ Economy

Critical Risk Factors Identified

A detailed risk assessment conducted by the Cyprus Council of Economy and Competitiveness has identified extended drought and water shortages as the preeminent threats to the nation’s economy. Released at a press briefing at the Ministry of Finance, the report underscores that these environmental challenges, along with cyberattacks on vital infrastructure, deteriorating climatic conditions, shortages of skilled labor, and delays in digital transformation, pose significant risks to economic stability.

Rigorous Analysis And Methodology

The study, now in its fourth consecutive year, utilized a combined probability and severity index to quantify each hazard. Evangelos Tryfonos of the Council and Panagiotis Panagiotou, Director of Pulse Market Research, led the presentation, offering a detailed breakdown of the data. According to Tryfonos, a staggering 91% risk index was assigned to prolonged drought and water scarcity, eclipsing other threats that registered between 79% and 82%.

Structured Risk Categorization

Panagiotou further elaborated on the findings by grouping the identified risks into four strategic categories: geopolitical security and external shocks, institutional fortification and structural challenges, social and environmental resilience, and macroeconomic stability. This classification not only clarifies the origins and potential impact of the risks but also aids policymakers in prioritizing preventive measures.

Insights For Policy And Corporate Strategy

While the overall severity of risks remains stable across all categories, variations in the likelihood of these events were observed. Notably, institutional and structural risks emerged with the highest probability, signaling a critical area for policy intervention. “This sends a clear message that through proactive measures and targeted policies, we can mitigate adverse outcomes,” the report emphasized.

Collaborative Approach To Economic Resilience

In response to queries regarding the utilization of these studies, Dimitris Georgiadis, Chairman of the Council, noted that discussions about risks and the implementation of safeguards are not undertaken by the Council in isolation. They form a part of a broader dialogue that includes the Ministry of Finance, the Central Bank, and the Fiscal Council. This collaborative effort has heightened public awareness and sharpened the focus on critical economic vulnerabilities.

Digital Transformation Under Scrutiny

Addressing concerns over digital transformation, Georgiadis remarked that while the research does not prescribe immediate actions, it makes clear that the economic community in Cyprus views the current pace of digital adoption as insufficient. Bureaucratic delays, challenges in attracting appropriate labor, and other obstacles are impeding the necessary digital shift. Ongoing discussions with relevant ministries and agencies are aimed at accelerating these reforms.

As Cyprus navigates these complex challenges, the insights provided by this comprehensive risk assessment serve as a vital roadmap for both policymakers and industry leaders intent on safeguarding the nation’s economic future.

EU Services Production Grows As Information And Communication Lead

Services production continued to expand across the European Union in August 2026, with information and communication recording the strongest annual growth. However, performance varied significantly between industries and member states, while Cyprus reported a mixed picture, with business services expanding and hospitality-related activities declining.

Information And Communication Leads Sector Growth

Compared with August 2025, services production increased by 5.9% in the euro area and 5.8% across the EU in information and communication. Transportation and storage also recorded growth, rising by 2.1% and 1.9%, respectively.

Real estate activities increased by 1.6% in the euro area and 1.1% in the EU. Professional, scientific and technical activities grew by 1% in both areas, while administrative and support services advanced by 1.1% and 1.3%.

Accommodation and food services was the only major sector to record an annual decline, falling by 0.1% in both the euro area and the EU.

The monthly figures were more mixed. Information and communication remained the strongest performer, increasing by 1.2% in the euro area and 1% across the EU. Real estate activities rose by 0.4% and 0.9%, respectively, while transportation and storage edged up 0.1% in the euro area but declined by 0.2% in the EU.

Administrative and support services recorded modest gains of 0.2% in the euro area and 0.1% in the EU. Accommodation and food services fell by 0.3% and 0.4%, while professional, scientific and technical activities declined by 0.8% and 0.9%, respectively.

Slovakia And Greece Record Strongest Annual Growth

Romania recorded the largest monthly increase in services production, at 5.2%, followed by Malta at 1.8% and Portugal at 1.7%. Luxembourg experienced the steepest decline, with output falling by 5.1%, followed by Bulgaria at 2.3% and Denmark at 1.9%.

On an annual basis, Slovakia led with growth of 10%, followed by Greece at 9.3% and Malta at 7.5%. Hungary recorded the weakest performance, with services production declining by 5.6%. Denmark fell by 5.3%, while Italy recorded a smaller decrease of 0.3%.

Cyprus Sees Growth In Business Services But Weakness In Hospitality

Cyprus’ latest figures show a similar divide between expanding business services and weaker hospitality-related activities. According to the Statistical Service of Cyprus (Cystat), professional, scientific and technical activities recorded the strongest annual growth among the covered sectors in the second quarter of 2026, increasing by 3.4%.

Transportation and storage and information and communication both grew by 2.1%, while real estate activities rose by 1.6%. In contrast, accommodation and food services declined by 3.1% year on year, and administrative and support services fell by 2.2%.

First-half results were more favourable for several sectors. Between January and June, professional, scientific and technical activities grew by 3.5%, transportation and storage by 2.8%, real estate by 2.1% and information and communication by 1.3%.

Nevertheless, administrative and support services contracted by 1% over the six-month period, while accommodation and food services declined by 0.7%.

How Cyprus’ Figures Differ From Eurostat’s Data

The Eurostat and Cystat figures measure different aspects of economic activity and are not directly comparable. Eurostat’s services production index tracks changes in the volume of output, whereas Cystat’s Turnover Value Index for Services and Transport measures the value of sales at current prices.

The reporting periods also differ: Eurostat’s figures cover August, while the cited Cypriot data relate to the second quarter and first half of 2026.

Cystat transmits services production data to Eurostat but does not yet publish a separate national production index. Turnover figures therefore remain the main publicly available national indicator for the sector.

Taken together, the data point to continued growth in several of Cyprus’ business-oriented services, alongside persistent pressure on accommodation, food and administrative support activities.

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