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Cyprus Outperforms EU Retail Growth With Record Annual Increase In December 2025

Overview

In a striking development for the European retail sector, Cyprus recorded an 8.2% year-on-year increase in retail trade volume in December 2025, registering the strongest annual growth among EU member states. This performance sets Cyprus apart from its peers, including Bulgaria and Luxembourg.

EU Retail Trade Performance

While Cyprus experienced robust gains, the broader euro area saw a modest 0.5% decline in retail trade volume in December 2025 compared to November. Similarly, the overall EU figures indicated a 0.5% drop month-on-month, despite previous increases in November. The calendar-adjusted retail sales index, however, managed to edge upwards by 1.3% in the euro area and by 1.7% across the EU on an annual basis.

Category Trends

Disaggregated data revealed mixed trends across retail categories. In the euro area, retail volumes for food, drinks, and tobacco experienced a slight monthly increase of 0.1%, while non-food product sales (excluding automotive fuel) dropped by 1.2%. Automotive fuel sales at specialized outlets remained stable. Conversely, within the EU, food, drinks, and tobacco sales recorded a minor downturn of 0.1%, and non-food products fell by 0.9% month-on-month, although automotive fuel sales enjoyed a modest rise of 0.1%.

Annual Performance by Sector

On an annual scale, the euro area saw a 1.2% increase in food, drinks, and tobacco sales, along with a 1.6% upsurge in non-food items. Automotive fuel sales in specialized stores in the euro area increased by 0.9% year-on-year. Across the EU, similar trends were observed with food, drinks, and tobacco sales advancing by 0.8%, non-food products witnessing a 2.0% rise, and automotive fuel sales climbing by 2.4%. Among individual member states, Cyprus led the annual growth rankings, followed by Bulgaria and Luxembourg, while Slovakia, Romania, and Estonia recorded declines.

Conclusion

The data underscore a stark contrast in retail performance at the close of 2025. Cyprus not only outshone its European counterparts with its stellar 8.2% annual growth but also highlighted underlying vulnerabilities in other EU markets. For industry leaders and investors, these trends serve as a critical indicator of evolving market dynamics across the continent.

Greek And Cypriot Banks Propel Economic Growth With Aggressive Credit Expansion

Robust Q1 Growth Sets The Stage

Banks in Greece and Cyprus are accelerating lending activity, with total credit expansion projected to approach or exceed €15 billion in 2026. The increase is reinforcing the banking sector’s role in supporting profitability and broader economic growth across the region.

Targeted Lending Initiatives And Sector Performance

According to reports by Greek business outlet Newmoney, banks are increasingly relying on credit expansion to sustain earnings growth as interest rate dynamics shift across Europe. First-quarter results already point to strong momentum in lending activity.

Eurobank has set a target of €3.8 billion in credit expansion this year. National Bank of Greece and Piraeus Bank are each targeting €3 billion, while Alpha Bank aims for €3.5 billion. Smaller lenders are also expanding aggressively, with CrediaBank targeting €1.2 billion and Optima Bank aiming for €1.1 billion.

Notable Banking Results Across Markets

First-quarter results underline the scale of the lending rebound. Banks that have reported Q1 figures recorded cumulative credit expansion of €4.7 billion. Piraeus Bank increased its loan portfolio to €38.6 billion, while net credit expansion reached €1.3 billion across major business segments. At National Bank of Greece, new loan disbursements rose 50%, contributing to net credit expansion of €500 million.

Meanwhile, Eurobank reported a 9.8% increase in net credit expansion to €1.1 billion. In Cyprus, Bank of Cyprus recorded Q1 lending of €829 million, up 9% compared with the end of 2025, while Optima Bank posted a 27% year-on-year increase in loan disbursements to €1 billion.

Sectoral Dynamics And Asset Quality Improvements

A recent report from UBS showed that business lending remained the strongest growth driver in March, increasing 10.9% year-on-year. Consumer lending rose 7.7%, while housing loans increased 1.1%. Asset quality also continued to improve. Non-performing loans declined to 3.3% in Q4 2025, down 30 basis points from the previous quarter, reflecting the sector’s ongoing balance-sheet clean-up.

Despite the strong lending momentum, profitability remained broadly stable in the first quarter. Combined net profits at major banks, including National Bank of Greece, Piraeus Bank, Eurobank, Optima Bank and Bank of Cyprus, totaled €1.12 billion, representing a marginal year-on-year decline of 0.27%.

Profitability And Revenue Breakdown

Profit trends varied across institutions during the quarter. Net profit at National Bank of Greece declined 9.9%, while Piraeus Bank reported a 1.42% decrease. By contrast, Eurobank increased profitability by 5.3%. In Cyprus, Bank of Cyprus reported a 3% increase in profit, while Optima Bank posted a 22% rise. Across the sector, net interest income increased 1.4% to €1.93 billion, although performance differed among individual banks. Fee income recorded stronger growth, rising 20% year-on-year to €590 million.

Long-Term Trends And Strategic Impact

Over the past year, listed banks in Greece and Cyprus generated combined post-tax profits of €5.458 billion, up 15.4% from the previous year. During the same period, net interest income declined 4.2% to €9.307 billion, reflecting pressure from changing rate conditions.

Balance-sheet quality continued to strengthen as non-performing loans fell to €5.7 billion, down 5.2% compared with December 2024. Since March 2016, banks in the two markets have reduced non-performing exposures by an estimated €101.5 billion, equivalent to a cumulative decline of 94.7%.

The sustained improvement in asset quality, combined with expanding loan portfolios, is reinforcing the sector’s role in financing business activity and economic recovery across Greece and Cyprus.


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