Cyprus Trade Deficit Widens Amid Sharp Export Surge

by THEFUTURE.TEAM

February 9, 2026

December Trade Performance

Cyprus closed 2025 with an expanded trade deficit. While a significant increase in exports during December bolstered the country’s market stance, a marked decline in imports overshadowed these gains. According to data released by the Cyprus Statistical Service (Cystat), total imports of goods in December 2025 fell to €1.20 billion from €1.39 billion in December 2024, representing a decrease of 13.1%. Notably, imports from other EU member states dropped to €789.30 million, and those from third countries slid to €415.10 million, from €703.40 million and €682.70 million respectively.

Significant Export Growth

Exports, however, recorded notable growth. Total export value reached €490.5 million in December 2025, up from €375.95 million in December 2024, an increase of 30.5%. Shipments to EU countries amounted to €182.7 million, while exports to third countries rose to €307.8 million from €97.0 million and €279.0 million respectively. A key factor behind the increase was the transfer of economic ownership of vessels, which climbed to €130.1 million compared with €51.4 million in the previous December.

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Year-to-Date Dynamics

Full-year data for 2025 show a mixed overall picture. Total imports for the January–December period rose to €13.55 billion from €12.58 billion in 2024, marking a 7.7% year-on-year increase. Exports reached €5.55 billion, up 7.0% from €5.19 billion the year before. As a result, the overall trade deficit widened to €8.00 billion compared with €7.40 billion in 2024.

Monthly Insights And Sectoral Highlights

Figures for November 2025 support the same trend. Total imports for the month declined to €1.04 billion from €1.16 billion a year earlier, a drop of 10.1%. In contrast, exports of domestically produced goods, including supplies for ships and aircraft, increased to €283.9 million from €244.5 million, a rise of 16.1%. Industrial product exports reached €276.6 million compared with €237.1 million, while agricultural exports edged slightly lower to €6.2 million from €6.4 million. Exports of foreign products also recorded modest gains.

Key Export Sectors

The leading domestic export categories between January and November 2025 were mineral fuels and oils at €2.19 billion, halloumi cheese at €332.2 million, and pharmaceutical products at €318.0 million. It is worth noting that the mineral fuels and oils category largely reflects goods that were imported, processed, and subsequently re-exported, which is an important factor in interpreting Cyprus’ trade structure.

Revisions And Provisional Data

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Cyprus Hits Historic Tourism Peak As Overtourism Risks Mount

by THEFUTURE.TEAM

February 13, 2026

Record-Breaking Performance In Tourism

Cyprus’ tourism sector achieved unprecedented success in 2025 with record-breaking arrivals and revenues. According to Eurobank analyst Konstantinos Vrachimis, the island’s performance was underpinned by solid real income growth and enhanced market diversification.

Robust Growth In Arrivals And Revenues

Total tourist arrivals reached 4.5 million in 2025, rising 12.2% from 4 million in 2024, with momentum sustained through the final quarter. Tourism receipts for the January–November period climbed to €3.6 billion, marking a 15.3% year-on-year increase that exceeded inflation. The improvement was not driven by volume alone. Average expenditure per visitor increased by 4.6%, while daily spending rose by 9.2%, indicating stronger purchasing power and higher-value tourism activity.

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Economic Impact And Diversification Of Source Markets

The stronger performance translated into tangible gains for the broader services economy, lifting real tourism-related income and overall sector turnover. Demand patterns are also shifting. While the United Kingdom remains Cyprus’ largest source market, its relative share has moderated as arrivals from Israel, Germany, Italy, the Czech Republic, the Netherlands, Austria, and Poland have expanded. This gradual diversification reduces dependency on a single market and strengthens resilience against external shocks.

Enhanced Air Connectivity And Seasonal Dynamics

Air connectivity has improved markedly in 2025, with flight volumes expanding substantially compared to 2019. This expansion is driven by increased airline capacity, enhanced route coverage, and more frequent flights, supporting demand during shoulder seasons and reducing overreliance on peak-month flows. Seasonal patterns remain prominent, with arrivals building through the spring and peaking in summer, thereby bolstering employment, fiscal receipts, and corporate earnings across hospitality, transport, and retail sectors.

Structural Risks And Future Considerations

Despite strong headline figures, structural challenges remain. The European Commission’s EU Tourism Dashboard highlights tourism intensity, seasonality, and market concentration as key risk indicators. Cyprus records a high ratio of overnight stays relative to its resident population, signalling potential overtourism pressures. Continued reliance on a limited group of origin markets also exposes the sector to geopolitical uncertainty and sudden demand swings. Seasonal peaks place additional strain on infrastructure, housing availability, labour supply, and natural resources, particularly water.

Strategic Investment And Market Resilience

Vrachimis concludes that sustained growth will depend on targeted investment, product upgrading, and continued market diversification. Strengthening year-round offerings, improving infrastructure capacity, and promoting higher-value experiences can help balance demand while preserving long-term competitiveness. These measures are essential not only to manage overtourism risks but also to ensure tourism remains a stable pillar of Cyprus’ economic development.

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