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Cyprus Lending Accelerates In December Amid Diverging Interest Rates

The latest data from the Central Bank of Cyprus reveals a marked acceleration in net new lending for December. Borrowing activity surged towards the end of the year as interest-rate trends diversified across various loan portfolios.

Robust Increase In Net New Lending

Net new loans rose by €368.7 million month on month to €625 million, bringing total new lending volume to €986.9 million. This compares with a net increase of €256.3 million in the previous month and points to stronger borrowing momentum at year-end.

Shifting Trends In Consumer And Housing Finance

Consumer borrowing eased slightly, with net new consumer loans declining from €20.4 million to €17.2 million. In contrast, housing finance strengthened. Loans for property purchases increased to €135.4 million from €113.4 million in November, suggesting continued demand in the residential market despite changing economic conditions.

Corporate Borrowing And Interest Rate Movements

Corporate lending showed mixed dynamics. Loans to non-financial corporations of up to €1 million rose to €60.3 million from €48.3 million, while larger corporate loans jumped to €406.4 million from €69.6 million. At the same time, interest rates moved in different directions depending on loan type. Consumer loan rates edged up to 7.22%, while housing loan rates declined to 3.78%, reflecting varied responses to broader market conditions.

Deposit And Lending Rate Dynamics

Deposit rates also increased moderately. Household time deposits of up to one year rose from 1.13% to 1.2%, while rates for non-financial corporations climbed from 1.17% to 1.27%. Despite these changes, overall lending rates in Cyprus remain close to the euro area median, even as deposit rates continue to differ between markets.

Comparative Analysis To The Eurozone

On a broader European level, weighted average margins for both housing and corporate loans show Cyprus tracking close to eurozone averages. The central bank reported a weighted average margin of -0.3% on new housing loans for households, compared with 0.6% for non-financial corporations. Borrowing costs for several corporate segments eased slightly, indicating stable financing conditions.

Liquidity And Market Implications

Deposit interest rates in Cyprus remain among the lowest in the eurozone, largely due to strong bank liquidity. The Liquidity Coverage Ratio reached 319% in December 2025, well above the eurozone median of 191% and the EU average of 161%. These figures point to a banking sector with ample reserves and relatively low funding pressure.

Overall, the central bank’s data suggests a lending market gaining pace, with housing and corporate borrowing driving growth while liquidity levels remain high. The combination of rising loan volumes, mixed interest-rate movements, and strong bank buffers highlights a financial environment that remains stable but increasingly active.

Cyprus Hits Historic Tourism Peak As Overtourism Risks Mount

Record-Breaking Performance In Tourism

Cyprus’ tourism sector achieved unprecedented success in 2025 with record-breaking arrivals and revenues. According to Eurobank analyst Konstantinos Vrachimis, the island’s performance was underpinned by solid real income growth and enhanced market diversification.

Robust Growth In Arrivals And Revenues

Total tourist arrivals reached 4.5 million in 2025, rising 12.2% from 4 million in 2024, with momentum sustained through the final quarter. Tourism receipts for the January–November period climbed to €3.6 billion, marking a 15.3% year-on-year increase that exceeded inflation. The improvement was not driven by volume alone. Average expenditure per visitor increased by 4.6%, while daily spending rose by 9.2%, indicating stronger purchasing power and higher-value tourism activity.

Economic Impact And Diversification Of Source Markets

The stronger performance translated into tangible gains for the broader services economy, lifting real tourism-related income and overall sector turnover. Demand patterns are also shifting. While the United Kingdom remains Cyprus’ largest source market, its relative share has moderated as arrivals from Israel, Germany, Italy, the Czech Republic, the Netherlands, Austria, and Poland have expanded. This gradual diversification reduces dependency on a single market and strengthens resilience against external shocks.

Enhanced Air Connectivity And Seasonal Dynamics

Air connectivity has improved markedly in 2025, with flight volumes expanding substantially compared to 2019. This expansion is driven by increased airline capacity, enhanced route coverage, and more frequent flights, supporting demand during shoulder seasons and reducing overreliance on peak-month flows. Seasonal patterns remain prominent, with arrivals building through the spring and peaking in summer, thereby bolstering employment, fiscal receipts, and corporate earnings across hospitality, transport, and retail sectors.

Structural Risks And Future Considerations

Despite strong headline figures, structural challenges remain. The European Commission’s EU Tourism Dashboard highlights tourism intensity, seasonality, and market concentration as key risk indicators. Cyprus records a high ratio of overnight stays relative to its resident population, signalling potential overtourism pressures. Continued reliance on a limited group of origin markets also exposes the sector to geopolitical uncertainty and sudden demand swings. Seasonal peaks place additional strain on infrastructure, housing availability, labour supply, and natural resources, particularly water.

Strategic Investment And Market Resilience

Vrachimis concludes that sustained growth will depend on targeted investment, product upgrading, and continued market diversification. Strengthening year-round offerings, improving infrastructure capacity, and promoting higher-value experiences can help balance demand while preserving long-term competitiveness. These measures are essential not only to manage overtourism risks but also to ensure tourism remains a stable pillar of Cyprus’ economic development.

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