Cyprus Lending Accelerates In December Amid Diverging Interest Rates

by THEFUTURE.TEAM

February 6, 2026

The latest data from the Central Bank of Cyprus reveals a marked acceleration in net new lending for December. Borrowing activity surged towards the end of the year as interest-rate trends diversified across various loan portfolios.

Robust Increase In Net New Lending

Net new loans rose by €368.7 million month on month to €625 million, bringing total new lending volume to €986.9 million. This compares with a net increase of €256.3 million in the previous month and points to stronger borrowing momentum at year-end.

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Shifting Trends In Consumer And Housing Finance

Consumer borrowing eased slightly, with net new consumer loans declining from €20.4 million to €17.2 million. In contrast, housing finance strengthened. Loans for property purchases increased to €135.4 million from €113.4 million in November, suggesting continued demand in the residential market despite changing economic conditions.

Corporate Borrowing And Interest Rate Movements

Corporate lending showed mixed dynamics. Loans to non-financial corporations of up to €1 million rose to €60.3 million from €48.3 million, while larger corporate loans jumped to €406.4 million from €69.6 million. At the same time, interest rates moved in different directions depending on loan type. Consumer loan rates edged up to 7.22%, while housing loan rates declined to 3.78%, reflecting varied responses to broader market conditions.

Deposit And Lending Rate Dynamics

Deposit rates also increased moderately. Household time deposits of up to one year rose from 1.13% to 1.2%, while rates for non-financial corporations climbed from 1.17% to 1.27%. Despite these changes, overall lending rates in Cyprus remain close to the euro area median, even as deposit rates continue to differ between markets.

Comparative Analysis To The Eurozone

On a broader European level, weighted average margins for both housing and corporate loans show Cyprus tracking close to eurozone averages. The central bank reported a weighted average margin of -0.3% on new housing loans for households, compared with 0.6% for non-financial corporations. Borrowing costs for several corporate segments eased slightly, indicating stable financing conditions.

Liquidity And Market Implications

Deposit interest rates in Cyprus remain among the lowest in the eurozone, largely due to strong bank liquidity. The Liquidity Coverage Ratio reached 319% in December 2025, well above the eurozone median of 191% and the EU average of 161%. These figures point to a banking sector with ample reserves and relatively low funding pressure.

Overall, the central bank’s data suggests a lending market gaining pace, with housing and corporate borrowing driving growth while liquidity levels remain high. The combination of rising loan volumes, mixed interest-rate movements, and strong bank buffers highlights a financial environment that remains stable but increasingly active.

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Bank of Cyprus Upgrade Signals Fresh Optimism For Greek And Cypriot Banks

by THEFUTURE.TEAM

June 26, 2026

Regional Banks Enter A More Favorable Cycle

Bank of Cyprus and Eurobank are well positioned to benefit from a renewed re-rating of Greek and Cypriot bank stocks, according to Cyprus-based investment firm Roemer Capital, which upgraded Bank of Cyprus to a buy rating and reaffirmed its positive view on Eurobank.

The firm cited easing geopolitical tensions, resilient economic growth in Greece and Cyprus, lower funding costs and Greece’s expected transition to developed-market status as the main factors supporting the sector.

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Roemer Capital also lowered its cost of equity assumptions, updated its forecasts following first-quarter 2026 results and extended its valuation horizon to the end of 2027, raising target prices across its banking coverage.

Bank Of Cyprus Gets The Largest Upgrade

Bank of Cyprus received the biggest revision, with Roemer Capital upgrading the stock from hold to buy and setting a target price of €11.10, implying potential total upside of 27%.

The firm highlighted the bank’s strong capital generation, profitability and projected 100% dividend payout, describing it as the strongest capital-return story among the banks under coverage. Roemer Capital maintained its buy rating on Eurobank, assigning a target price of €4.90 and forecasting potential upside of 28%. The report said the bank is well placed to benefit from loan growth, improving operating performance and merger-and-acquisition synergies.

National Bank of Greece and Piraeus Bank also retained buy ratings, with expected returns ranging from 25% to 36%. Optima Bank was upgraded to buy, while Alpha Bank remained at hold on valuation grounds.

Why Growth Still Sets The Region Apart

According to Roemer Capital, Greek and Cypriot banks continue to benefit from stronger economic fundamentals than many western European peers. The report pointed to faster economic growth, healthier balance sheets, low levels of non-performing exposures, capital ratios approaching 20% and strong customer deposit bases.

Analysts expect performing loans across the sector to grow at a compound annual rate of 6% to 8% through 2028, supported by private investment, digitalisation, green manufacturing, supply-chain expansion and a gradual recovery in household lending.

The report also said the conclusion of lending under the EU Recovery and Resilience Facility is unlikely to materially affect credit growth, as banks have already shifted back towards traditional commercial lending. Roemer Capital expects Euribor to remain between 2.2% and 2.5%, a level it believes should support both lending activity and net interest margins.

Geopolitics, Valuation And Market Structure Support The Case

The report said improving geopolitical conditions have strengthened the investment outlook, noting that Brent crude prices have largely returned to pre-war levels while Greek government bond yields have stabilised at around 3.5%. Although geopolitical risks remain, Roemer Capital believes the likelihood of a major inflationary shock or significant pressure on bank profitability has eased.

Another important catalyst identified by the firm is Greece’s expected promotion to developed-market status by FTSE Russell, STOXX and MSCI over the coming months.

According to the report, the reclassification should improve liquidity and attract a broader base of international investors. Roemer Capital also said Euronext’s acquisition of the Athens Exchange is expected to strengthen market infrastructure and increase international visibility, particularly for Bank of Cyprus and Optima Bank.

The firm noted that Bank of Cyprus has already benefited from its Athens listing, with average daily trading value increasing from less than €400,000 before its September 2024 move to nearly €6 million afterwards.

Economic Momentum Remains A Core Tailwind

Roemer Capital said both Greece and Cyprus have moved beyond post-crisis recovery and are now supported by private-sector-led growth. For Cyprus, the report highlighted recent tax reform and efforts to simplify the legal and regulatory framework, while also noting that limited foreign banking competition continues to support domestic lenders.

Overall, Roemer Capital expects Greek and Cypriot banks to remain well-positioned for profitable loan growth over the coming years.

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