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Nexans Issues Ultimatum: ADΜIE Held Accountable For Cyprus-Greece Interconnector Delays

The ongoing dispute over the Cyprus-Greece power interconnector project has reached a critical juncture as the French contractor ADΜIE finds itself at the center of a contractual storm. While ADΜIE and local regulatory authorities have attributed the project’s delays to systemic challenges, reliable sources indicate that Nexans—the company responsible for manufacturing and laying the cable—now holds ADΜIE solely accountable for breaching fundamental contract terms, including critical timeline milestones.

Contractual Breaches and Formal Warnings

According to industry reports, Nexans has formally notified ADΜIE, following the recent agreement between Mitsotakis and Christodoulidis, that failing to issue the Full Notice to Proceed—the final approval required for the commencement of all project phases—by the first quarter of 2026 will release the contractor from all schedule-related obligations. Originally scheduled for August 2024, this delay not only invalidates the contractual timeframes but also nullifies penalty clauses that would otherwise compensate for project delays.

Escalating Financial Liabilities

Further compounding the situation, Nexans has communicated in writing that, given the accumulated delays and halted cable payments since April 2025, ADΜIE could soon face liabilities amounting to approximately €250 million if the project is terminated prematurely by ADΜIE. This figure is likely to rise when combined with other overdue amounts and potential claims related to raw material orders or subsequent cancellations on similar electric cable projects.

Operational Progress and Critical Dependencies

Despite the mounting legal tensions, Nexans has already produced roughly 300 kilometers of cable conforming to diverse technical standards, leveraging its manufacturing facilities in Japan and Norway. However, the French firm’s willingness to extend deadline relaxation—with the latest extension expiring in December 2025—is contingent upon the imminent issuance of the Full Notice to Proceed. Failure to secure this approval by March 2026 may prompt Nexans to invoke contractual penalty clauses, effectively releasing them from further obligations.

Regional Implications and Future Steps

If Nexans’ conditions are not met, ADΜIE is poised to initiate compensation claims against regulatory authorities in both Cyprus and Greece, potentially implicating national governments and electricity consumers in the financial fallout. ADΜIE has already disbursed approximately €300 million to Nexans—funds which Nexans considers non-refundable. When combined with the aforementioned penalties, the overall cost of this venture, launched in the summer of 2023, could soar to nearly €550 million, excluding additional claims that might materialize.

Rescheduling Efforts and Strategic Impacts

On January 6, 2026, Nexans acknowledged the project’s delays in an official announcement, indicating that a reprogramming of activities was underway with its client. The revised delivery date, initially set for the close of 2029, may now be postponed by as much as one year—provided that no further disruptions occur, such as geopolitical instabilities in international waters between Crete and Cyprus. The contractor remains clear: should ADΜIE issue the Full Notice to Proceed within the stipulated timeframe, the delay in project completion will be limited to one year.

This unfolding scenario underscores not only the operational and financial challenges inherent in large-scale infrastructure projects but also the critical importance of timely decision-making at the governmental level. With both Nexans and ADΜIE now firmly entrenched in a high-stakes legal and financial battle, the resolution of this dispute will have far-reaching implications for regional energy policy and investor confidence in interstate infrastructure initiatives.

Bank of Cyprus Upgrade Signals Fresh Optimism For Greek And Cypriot Banks

Regional Banks Enter A More Favorable Cycle

Bank of Cyprus and Eurobank are well positioned to benefit from a renewed re-rating of Greek and Cypriot bank stocks, according to Cyprus-based investment firm Roemer Capital, which upgraded Bank of Cyprus to a buy rating and reaffirmed its positive view on Eurobank.

The firm cited easing geopolitical tensions, resilient economic growth in Greece and Cyprus, lower funding costs and Greece’s expected transition to developed-market status as the main factors supporting the sector.

Roemer Capital also lowered its cost of equity assumptions, updated its forecasts following first-quarter 2026 results and extended its valuation horizon to the end of 2027, raising target prices across its banking coverage.

Bank Of Cyprus Gets The Largest Upgrade

Bank of Cyprus received the biggest revision, with Roemer Capital upgrading the stock from hold to buy and setting a target price of €11.10, implying potential total upside of 27%.

The firm highlighted the bank’s strong capital generation, profitability and projected 100% dividend payout, describing it as the strongest capital-return story among the banks under coverage. Roemer Capital maintained its buy rating on Eurobank, assigning a target price of €4.90 and forecasting potential upside of 28%. The report said the bank is well placed to benefit from loan growth, improving operating performance and merger-and-acquisition synergies.

National Bank of Greece and Piraeus Bank also retained buy ratings, with expected returns ranging from 25% to 36%. Optima Bank was upgraded to buy, while Alpha Bank remained at hold on valuation grounds.

Why Growth Still Sets The Region Apart

According to Roemer Capital, Greek and Cypriot banks continue to benefit from stronger economic fundamentals than many western European peers. The report pointed to faster economic growth, healthier balance sheets, low levels of non-performing exposures, capital ratios approaching 20% and strong customer deposit bases.

Analysts expect performing loans across the sector to grow at a compound annual rate of 6% to 8% through 2028, supported by private investment, digitalisation, green manufacturing, supply-chain expansion and a gradual recovery in household lending.

The report also said the conclusion of lending under the EU Recovery and Resilience Facility is unlikely to materially affect credit growth, as banks have already shifted back towards traditional commercial lending. Roemer Capital expects Euribor to remain between 2.2% and 2.5%, a level it believes should support both lending activity and net interest margins.

Geopolitics, Valuation And Market Structure Support The Case

The report said improving geopolitical conditions have strengthened the investment outlook, noting that Brent crude prices have largely returned to pre-war levels while Greek government bond yields have stabilised at around 3.5%. Although geopolitical risks remain, Roemer Capital believes the likelihood of a major inflationary shock or significant pressure on bank profitability has eased.

Another important catalyst identified by the firm is Greece’s expected promotion to developed-market status by FTSE Russell, STOXX and MSCI over the coming months.

According to the report, the reclassification should improve liquidity and attract a broader base of international investors. Roemer Capital also said Euronext’s acquisition of the Athens Exchange is expected to strengthen market infrastructure and increase international visibility, particularly for Bank of Cyprus and Optima Bank.

The firm noted that Bank of Cyprus has already benefited from its Athens listing, with average daily trading value increasing from less than €400,000 before its September 2024 move to nearly €6 million afterwards.

Economic Momentum Remains A Core Tailwind

Roemer Capital said both Greece and Cyprus have moved beyond post-crisis recovery and are now supported by private-sector-led growth. For Cyprus, the report highlighted recent tax reform and efforts to simplify the legal and regulatory framework, while also noting that limited foreign banking competition continues to support domestic lenders.

Overall, Roemer Capital expects Greek and Cypriot banks to remain well-positioned for profitable loan growth over the coming years.

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