Breaking news

Great Sea Interconnector Project Faces Heightened Cost And Viability Scrutiny

In a recent House Finance Committee session, critical issues surrounding the cost and long-term viability of the Great Sea Interconnector (GSI) were brought into sharp focus. The project has become a focal point amid ongoing concerns over budgetary deficits at the Cyprus Energy Regulatory Authority (Cera), which continues to operate at a deficit for the sixth consecutive year.

Project Cost Concerns

During the session, Cera Vice-Chairman Alkis Philippou acknowledged that EU-backed projects of common interest typically receive state subsidies due to their initial lack of financial viability. However, Philippou warned that escalating costs could ultimately undermine the sustainability of such essential infrastructure initiatives. Committee Chairman Polyvios Lemonaris highlighted unresolved issues, notably the final cost of substations, and pointed out that remaining technical challenges—such as incomplete seabed surveys and uncertainties in the cable-laying process—might necessitate additional expenditures and infrastructure enhancements.

Budgetary Implications and Fiscal Oversight

In addressing the myriad financial challenges, lawmakers expressed a demand for comprehensive clarification, emphasizing both the impact on public finances and the importance for citizens. Lemonaris provided further insight into Cera’s 2026 budget, which projects a significant deficit of €2.8 million against revenues of €3.1 million and expenditures of €5.9 million, with nearly half of the expenditure allocated to staff salaries. Despite these short-term imbalances, current reserves are expected to cushion the deficit and leave €2.2 million in the accounts by year’s end. Additionally, annual fees currently represent 87% of revenue while salaries consume 48% of expenditures. A revised fee structure has already been proposed to steer the agency toward a balanced budget.

Market Dynamics And Project Timelines

Lemonaris also touched upon broader market developments, noting that the electricity market officially opened to competition on October 1. However, with only two producers, 11 suppliers, and a handful of renewable energy stakeholders currently active in the sector, wholesale pricing remains in line with transitional arrangements. He expressed optimism that the natural forces of competition would help stabilize—and eventually drive down—prices once the market matures.

Looking Ahead

The critical nature of completing interconnection projects on schedule was underscored by committee members, who warned that delays could leave Cyprus with constrained energy capacities post-2029. While Greece’s independent transmission system operator, Admie, has yet to signal any changes to the December 31, 2029, completion deadline, ongoing technical reviews and pending reports from the natural gas administrator are set to outline the necessary infrastructure improvements. Lawmakers continue to monitor these developments closely, recognizing the far-reaching implications for both national energy security and fiscal stability.

IMF Says Cyprus Growth Will Ease As Energy Costs And Regional Tensions Weigh On Economy

Cyprus is expected to remain among the better-performing economies in the European Union, although growth is projected to moderate this year as higher energy prices, geopolitical uncertainty, and softer tourism activity weigh on economic momentum.

Growth Set To Moderate After A Strong Run

In its latest Article IV Consultation, the International Monetary Fund (IMF) noted that the Cypriot economy has remained resilient despite a challenging external environment. However, the Fund expects growth to slow compared with last year as rising energy costs and regional tensions begin to affect household incomes, business confidence, and tourism flows.

“Growth is expected to moderate this year as higher energy prices and geopolitical tensions weigh on real incomes, tourism and confidence,” the IMF said.

The Fund projects GDP growth of 2.6% in 2026, compared with 3.8% in 2025. Under a more adverse scenario involving a prolonged crisis in the Gulf region, growth could slow further to 1.7%.

Inflation Is Turning Higher Again

Alongside slower growth, inflation is expected to increase in the near term after easing significantly last year. According to the IMF, higher energy costs linked to developments in the Middle East are beginning to feed through to consumer prices.

“Inflation is projected to rise in the near term before easing. Risks are tilted to the downside, notably from a more prolonged war in the Middle East, tighter global financial conditions and weaker external demand. Medium-term prospects are more balanced, supported by strong fundamentals and reform momentum,” the Fund said.

The harmonised inflation rate, which declined to 0.8% in 2025, is forecast to rise to 3.5% this year before easing again to 1.5% in 2027.

Tourism Softens, But Fiscal And Financial Buffers Hold

While the IMF pointed to signs of weaker tourism activity, it said the broader economy continues to benefit from strong fiscal and financial fundamentals.

“Fiscal performance has remained strong, with continued surpluses and public debt declining below 60 per cent of GDP. The financial sector is sound, with strong capital and liquidity buffers and improving asset quality,” the report noted.

Domestic demand remains resilient, while exports of services continue to support economic activity. Sectors such as information and communications technology and tourism are expected to remain important contributors to growth, helping Cyprus maintain one of the strongest economic performances within the EU.

A Recovery Built On Policy Discipline

The IMF praised the Cypriot authorities for maintaining a strong fiscal position, rebuilding policy buffers and putting public debt on a clear downward trajectory. It also pointed to the country’s remarkable rebound since the 2013 banking crisis. Per capita GDP, measured against the EU average, has now returned to pre-crisis levels.

That said, the Fund urged policymakers to keep focusing on the quality of public finances. It said Cyprus should improve the efficiency of spending and taxation, prioritise high-quality public investment and maintain discipline in public wage growth.

Any support for households, the IMF added, should be temporary and tightly targeted. It welcomed the government’s recent comprehensive tax reform and a proposal to build financial assets in the social security fund.

Uol
Aretilaw firm
eCredo
The Future Forbes Realty Global Properties

Become a Speaker

Become a Speaker

Become a Partner

Subscribe for our weekly newsletter