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Tax Irregularities and Oversight Concerns in Larnaka’s Makenzie Hospitality Sector

Overview Of Emerging Discrepancies

Recent findings by the Audit Service have cast a critical light on several restaurants and entertainment establishments in the Makenzie area of Larnaka. These businesses appear to have manipulated their tax declarations while the Tax Department often overlooked discrepancies, particularly when undocumented cash transactions or inconsistent Value Added Tax (VAT) remittances were involved. In some instances, well-known artistic events did not comply with the requisite tax obligations, raising significant concerns about fiscal integrity.

Questionable Practices And Inadequate Oversight

The report reveals that during standard monitoring procedures, a power outage at a specific venue during the early hours obstructed the printing of daily receipts—a situation that compromised the possibility of an effective tax audit. Historical records from 2010 to 2014 documented repeated complaints and findings for failure to issue proper receipts, with evidence suggesting deliberate misreporting. Notably, the involvement of the Unit for the Investigation of Tax Fraud was indicated, emphasizing the gravity of the situation.

Systemic Weaknesses Across Multiple Venues

An audit encompassing 11 hospitality and recreational centers over a decade has highlighted a systemic issue: many establishments had taxes imposed solely on declared figures without thorough verifications. For businesses hosting high-profile artistic events during 2022-2023, the Tax Department’s estimates for VAT and artist tax were made on conservative assumptions that significantly underestimated actual liabilities.

Case Studies And Procedural Lapses

Detailed accounts from the investigation include cases where incomplete or unreliable invoicing practices were commonplace. One company—a restaurant and café bar—filed income tax returns between 2011 and 2021, yet major discrepancies were noted in the VAT contributions for tickets sold at multiple events. Additional concerns were raised when a significant cash reserve, found concealed beside a register during an audit, was characterized as a personal possession, further obscuring the true financial picture.

Implications And The Call For Rigorous Scrutiny

The pervasive laxity in tax enforcement, as demonstrated by the continued reliance on self-declared figures and the absence of robust on-site audits, underscores a pressing need for enhanced regulatory oversight. With many of the establishments lacking appropriate operational licenses and with historical evidence of extensive revenue concealment, the findings demand a comprehensive review of enforcement practices. For investors and stakeholders, this case serves as a cautionary tale about the critical importance of transparency and accountability in the hospitality sector.

Bank of Cyprus Upgrade Signals Fresh Optimism For Greek And Cypriot Banks

Regional Banks Enter A More Favorable Cycle

Bank of Cyprus and Eurobank are well positioned to benefit from a renewed re-rating of Greek and Cypriot bank stocks, according to Cyprus-based investment firm Roemer Capital, which upgraded Bank of Cyprus to a buy rating and reaffirmed its positive view on Eurobank.

The firm cited easing geopolitical tensions, resilient economic growth in Greece and Cyprus, lower funding costs and Greece’s expected transition to developed-market status as the main factors supporting the sector.

Roemer Capital also lowered its cost of equity assumptions, updated its forecasts following first-quarter 2026 results and extended its valuation horizon to the end of 2027, raising target prices across its banking coverage.

Bank Of Cyprus Gets The Largest Upgrade

Bank of Cyprus received the biggest revision, with Roemer Capital upgrading the stock from hold to buy and setting a target price of €11.10, implying potential total upside of 27%.

The firm highlighted the bank’s strong capital generation, profitability and projected 100% dividend payout, describing it as the strongest capital-return story among the banks under coverage. Roemer Capital maintained its buy rating on Eurobank, assigning a target price of €4.90 and forecasting potential upside of 28%. The report said the bank is well placed to benefit from loan growth, improving operating performance and merger-and-acquisition synergies.

National Bank of Greece and Piraeus Bank also retained buy ratings, with expected returns ranging from 25% to 36%. Optima Bank was upgraded to buy, while Alpha Bank remained at hold on valuation grounds.

Why Growth Still Sets The Region Apart

According to Roemer Capital, Greek and Cypriot banks continue to benefit from stronger economic fundamentals than many western European peers. The report pointed to faster economic growth, healthier balance sheets, low levels of non-performing exposures, capital ratios approaching 20% and strong customer deposit bases.

Analysts expect performing loans across the sector to grow at a compound annual rate of 6% to 8% through 2028, supported by private investment, digitalisation, green manufacturing, supply-chain expansion and a gradual recovery in household lending.

The report also said the conclusion of lending under the EU Recovery and Resilience Facility is unlikely to materially affect credit growth, as banks have already shifted back towards traditional commercial lending. Roemer Capital expects Euribor to remain between 2.2% and 2.5%, a level it believes should support both lending activity and net interest margins.

Geopolitics, Valuation And Market Structure Support The Case

The report said improving geopolitical conditions have strengthened the investment outlook, noting that Brent crude prices have largely returned to pre-war levels while Greek government bond yields have stabilised at around 3.5%. Although geopolitical risks remain, Roemer Capital believes the likelihood of a major inflationary shock or significant pressure on bank profitability has eased.

Another important catalyst identified by the firm is Greece’s expected promotion to developed-market status by FTSE Russell, STOXX and MSCI over the coming months.

According to the report, the reclassification should improve liquidity and attract a broader base of international investors. Roemer Capital also said Euronext’s acquisition of the Athens Exchange is expected to strengthen market infrastructure and increase international visibility, particularly for Bank of Cyprus and Optima Bank.

The firm noted that Bank of Cyprus has already benefited from its Athens listing, with average daily trading value increasing from less than €400,000 before its September 2024 move to nearly €6 million afterwards.

Economic Momentum Remains A Core Tailwind

Roemer Capital said both Greece and Cyprus have moved beyond post-crisis recovery and are now supported by private-sector-led growth. For Cyprus, the report highlighted recent tax reform and efforts to simplify the legal and regulatory framework, while also noting that limited foreign banking competition continues to support domestic lenders.

Overall, Roemer Capital expects Greek and Cypriot banks to remain well-positioned for profitable loan growth over the coming years.

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