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CPDA Advocates Direct State Grants for Green Home Upgrades Over Tax Exemption

Green Incentives: A Strategic Shift

The Cyprus Property Developers Association (CPDA) is urging the government to revise its approach to financing household green upgrades. Instead of the proposed €1,000 tax exemption per spouse or partner, CPDA recommends replacing it with direct state grants. According to the association, this measure would produce faster and more meaningful results in the transition toward more sustainable living environments.

Broader Access for a Sustainable Future

CPDA stresses that the subsidy should be independent of income or socio-economic criteria, cautioning that such restrictions could hinder participation and delay Cyprus’ progress toward achieving the EU’s “Fit for 55” climate targets. The association advocates for a scheme that supports the renovation of existing homes as well as new constructions built to modern environmental standards, ensuring equitable benefits for all property owners.

A Model Based on Proven International Success

Drawing on successful examples from Italy, Germany, and the Netherlands, CPDA proposes that aid be closely aligned with the actual costs of green investments, subject to a defined ceiling. This approach is intended to maintain proportionality and fairness while ensuring the efficient use of public funds. The initiative aims to invigorate both the construction and renovation sectors, delivering positive ripple effects throughout the broader Cypriot economy.

Context and Fiscal Reform

The association’s recommendations emerged during a public consultation on a major tax reform package spearheaded by the Finance Ministry. This comprehensive reform, which forms a key component of the president’s pre-election programme, is designed to foster a fair, efficient, and sustainable economic system by addressing rising fiscal pressures, widening inequality, and the need for new investments.

Ensuring Compliance and Economic Revival

In developing the reform package, the Ministry relied on an independent study by the University of Cyprus’ Economics Research Centre (CypERC) and input from international experts to ensure compliance with EU state aid rules. The package—encompassing amendments to income tax, defence contributions, capital gains, tax certification and collection, and stamp duties—is aimed at bolstering social justice, curbing tax evasion, and stimulating entrepreneurship while restoring public trust in the tax framework.

Bank of Cyprus Upgrade Signals Fresh Optimism For Greek And Cypriot Banks

Regional Banks Enter A More Favorable Cycle

Bank of Cyprus and Eurobank are well positioned to benefit from a renewed re-rating of Greek and Cypriot bank stocks, according to Cyprus-based investment firm Roemer Capital, which upgraded Bank of Cyprus to a buy rating and reaffirmed its positive view on Eurobank.

The firm cited easing geopolitical tensions, resilient economic growth in Greece and Cyprus, lower funding costs and Greece’s expected transition to developed-market status as the main factors supporting the sector.

Roemer Capital also lowered its cost of equity assumptions, updated its forecasts following first-quarter 2026 results and extended its valuation horizon to the end of 2027, raising target prices across its banking coverage.

Bank Of Cyprus Gets The Largest Upgrade

Bank of Cyprus received the biggest revision, with Roemer Capital upgrading the stock from hold to buy and setting a target price of €11.10, implying potential total upside of 27%.

The firm highlighted the bank’s strong capital generation, profitability and projected 100% dividend payout, describing it as the strongest capital-return story among the banks under coverage. Roemer Capital maintained its buy rating on Eurobank, assigning a target price of €4.90 and forecasting potential upside of 28%. The report said the bank is well placed to benefit from loan growth, improving operating performance and merger-and-acquisition synergies.

National Bank of Greece and Piraeus Bank also retained buy ratings, with expected returns ranging from 25% to 36%. Optima Bank was upgraded to buy, while Alpha Bank remained at hold on valuation grounds.

Why Growth Still Sets The Region Apart

According to Roemer Capital, Greek and Cypriot banks continue to benefit from stronger economic fundamentals than many western European peers. The report pointed to faster economic growth, healthier balance sheets, low levels of non-performing exposures, capital ratios approaching 20% and strong customer deposit bases.

Analysts expect performing loans across the sector to grow at a compound annual rate of 6% to 8% through 2028, supported by private investment, digitalisation, green manufacturing, supply-chain expansion and a gradual recovery in household lending.

The report also said the conclusion of lending under the EU Recovery and Resilience Facility is unlikely to materially affect credit growth, as banks have already shifted back towards traditional commercial lending. Roemer Capital expects Euribor to remain between 2.2% and 2.5%, a level it believes should support both lending activity and net interest margins.

Geopolitics, Valuation And Market Structure Support The Case

The report said improving geopolitical conditions have strengthened the investment outlook, noting that Brent crude prices have largely returned to pre-war levels while Greek government bond yields have stabilised at around 3.5%. Although geopolitical risks remain, Roemer Capital believes the likelihood of a major inflationary shock or significant pressure on bank profitability has eased.

Another important catalyst identified by the firm is Greece’s expected promotion to developed-market status by FTSE Russell, STOXX and MSCI over the coming months.

According to the report, the reclassification should improve liquidity and attract a broader base of international investors. Roemer Capital also said Euronext’s acquisition of the Athens Exchange is expected to strengthen market infrastructure and increase international visibility, particularly for Bank of Cyprus and Optima Bank.

The firm noted that Bank of Cyprus has already benefited from its Athens listing, with average daily trading value increasing from less than €400,000 before its September 2024 move to nearly €6 million afterwards.

Economic Momentum Remains A Core Tailwind

Roemer Capital said both Greece and Cyprus have moved beyond post-crisis recovery and are now supported by private-sector-led growth. For Cyprus, the report highlighted recent tax reform and efforts to simplify the legal and regulatory framework, while also noting that limited foreign banking competition continues to support domestic lenders.

Overall, Roemer Capital expects Greek and Cypriot banks to remain well-positioned for profitable loan growth over the coming years.

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