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ICC Survey Reveals Stark Realities In The Global Business Environment

A comprehensive survey conducted by the International Chamber of Commerce (ICC) underscores the formidable challenges facing the global business community. With contributions from local chambers in over 100 countries, the ICC World Chambers Federation Chamber Pulse 2025 offers a detailed snapshot of economic expectations from economies representing 90 percent of global GDP.

Regional Challenges And Trade Obstacles

The survey paints a varied picture: while 89 percent of chambers assessed the business environment as at least acceptable, the challenges differ markedly by region. North American chambers flagged tariffs as the predominant hurdle, with every respondent citing these measures as severely disruptive. In contrast, geopolitical tensions emerged as the chief concern in the Middle East and North Africa, as identified by 62 percent of chambers.

Other regions report unique pressures: taxation challenges loom large in South Asia, with 82 percent of responses, whereas 70 percent of chambers in Latin America and the Caribbean pointed to security issues. Additionally, labour shortages are pronounced in North America, Europe, and Central Asia, East Asia and the Pacific, further complicating the global economic landscape.

Inflation, Uncertainty, And The Cost Of Protectionism

Persistent inflationary pressures, with price increases observed in over 90 percent of surveyed countries, continue to stress business fundamentals. More than half of the chambers noted that the current trade environment significantly burdens businesses. Importantly, uncertainty has overtaken tariff changes as the primary trade challenge, with 74 percent identifying it as a serious obstacle. This sentiment is particularly acute in East Asia and the Pacific, as well as Latin America and the Caribbean, where rising protectionism exacerbates market volatility.

Strategic Shifts And Adaptive Measures

In response to mounting uncertainty, businesses are recalibrating their strategies. Market diversification now takes precedence, with 67 percent of respondents advocating for broader market engagement and 51 percent emphasizing cost management. Relocation remains a less favored option, endorsed by only 25 percent of chambers. Regional trade initiatives are gaining momentum in Asia and Europe, while North American firms are actively reassessing their supply chain configurations.

Embracing Digital Transformation

The survey also highlights a notable shift toward digital transformation. The adoption of Artificial Intelligence has increased to 22 percent, up from 16 percent in 2024, with Asia taking the lead. However, challenges such as data privacy concerns, inadequate expertise, and unprepared corporate data hinder progress in other regions.

Optimism Amid Uncertainty

Despite these challenges, half of the surveyed chambers remain optimistic about the future, anticipating improved business conditions. This outlook is especially positive in the Middle East and North Africa, even as regions like Latin America, the Caribbean, East Asia, and the Pacific grapple with inflation and other pressing challenges.

Cyprus Foreclosure Reform Debate Intensifies Amid Rising Non-Performing Loans

Political Stakes And Foreclosure Regulation

Cypriot political parties are engaging in a high-stakes debate in parliament as they deliberate changes to the legal framework governing foreclosures ahead of the May parliamentary elections. The proposed shifts are aimed at curbing the rapid escalation in the value of non-performing loans, a trend that has sparked significant public and legislative concern. Confidential data from the Central Bank of Cyprus indicates that the nation has not yet moved away from its longstanding issues related to so-called “red loans.”

Non-Performing Loans: A Mounting Financial Challenge

Recent figures show that the value of distressed loans has continued to rise, surpassing €20 billion following transfers involving banks and credit recovery companies. This level exceeds the approximately €15 billion recorded during the economic crisis period. Central Bank data indicates that after loan sales, credit recovery firms now manage portfolios totaling €19.7 billion, of which €18.5 billion are classified as non-performing. About 87% of these loans are considered terminated, while the firms acquired 141,478 loans for €3.2 billion, roughly 80% below their original value.

Credit Recovery Companies: Overshooting Investment Returns

By June, credit recovery companies had recovered €5.7 billion through a combination of cash repayments, judicial asset auctions and property-for-debt exchanges. Cash repayments accounted for €3.6 billion, judicial recoveries contributed €619 million, and property swaps added €1.5 billion. These recoveries exceeded the original purchase cost of many loan portfolios while overall balances continued to increase due to accrued interest, a development that remains a concern for policymakers.

Bank Portfolios And The Impact On Financial Stability

Data from the State Guarantee Fund for Deposits and Loans shows that 77,561 loans valued at €7.5 billion were transferred, leaving a remaining balance of €5.7 billion by June 2025, of which €5 billion are non-performing. Within the banking sector, non-performing loans totaled €1.45 billion across 24,736 accounts as of last June. Since December 2024, these figures have improved by approximately €86 million due to repayments and asset recoveries. The reduction in problematic loans has lowered bank exposure compared with levels recorded during the 2013 crisis.

Legislative Proposals And Government Considerations

Political leaders argue that adjustments to foreclosure procedures can be introduced without undermining banking stability. Parliament’s Economic Committee is scheduled to begin discussions on March 9, with an estimated 20 to 30 legislative proposals currently pending from multiple parties. While the Ministry of Finance has not announced immediate legislative action, officials are evaluating the potential reintroduction of elements of the Rent-Versus-Rate plan for vulnerable borrowers, subject to fiscal impact assessments.

Advocacy From AKEL And Environmental Groups

Proposals supported by the AKEL party and several civil organizations focus on strengthening legal protections for borrowers. Among the suggested measures is restoring the right to seek judicial relief to delay foreclosures in cases involving disputed charges or alleged abusive contract clauses. AKEL representative Aristos Damianou criticized the pace of foreclosure proceedings and warned of risks to primary residences and small businesses.

Proposals Targeting Guarantors And Foreclosure Processes

The Democratic Rally party has introduced a proposal aimed at limiting guarantor liability during foreclosure procedures. Under the draft measure, if a property is auctioned or repossessed, the guarantor’s responsibility would be capped at the original loan amount adjusted by recovered sums. The proposal also requires that enforcement actions against guarantors be suspended until a court ruling is issued if the borrower formally disputes the debt.

Revisions Proposed By The Democratic Party of Cyprus

The Democratic Party is also preparing new legislative measures to be introduced on Thursday. Party leader Mario Karogian outlined plans to suspend the foreclosures of primary residences valued up to €350,000 until the end of the year, allowing time to address legislative gaps. Additional proposals include broadening the powers of the Financial Ombudsperson to make binding decisions on disputes up to €50,000, enforcing the Central Bank’s code of conduct, and ensuring strict adherence to refinancing guidelines for first residences.

Outlook And Strategic Implications

The range of proposals reflects an ongoing effort to balance financial system stability with stronger consumer protections. Decisions made in the coming months are expected to shape the regulatory environment for foreclosures and influence broader confidence in Cyprus’ financial sector and economic outlook.

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